Platformonomics TGIF #144: October 30, 2026

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Stylized silhouette of a mountain range with a curved line below.

Platformonomics TGIF is a weekly roll-up of links, comments on those links, and perhaps a little too much tugging on my favorite threads.

The new CAPEX numbers are here! The new CAPEX numbers are here!

My Writing

Follow the CAPEX: Q3 2026 Scorecard

A chart that got left on the editing room floor:

Bar graph displaying mentions of 'Superintelligence' from 2026 Q3 earnings calls of Amazon, Google, Meta, and Microsoft, with Meta having the highest count.

Congratulations to my friends at Meta! Super exciting work!

The Federal Reserve. But With Agents

We continue our exploration of organizational-level AI, economic policymaking with AI, and politically-mediated governance.

A news article headline and excerpt discussing the Federal Reserve's decision to hold interest rates steady while considering future increases, highlighting a division among officials on the matter.

Our agents came to the same conclusion, but faster and with far fewer pastries consumed. Gemini even dissented.

News

Never Take a Dependency on Elon Musk: Still a Matter of Life and Death

Headline about Elon Musk claiming responsibility for Starlink speed restrictions following the restoration of service in Ukraine.
Headline discussing the influence of Elon Musk on life and death decisions at Ukraine's front line.
A tweet discussing Elon Musk's actions regarding Starlink and the US government, expressing confusion and disbelief over his contradictory statements.
Headline text discussing the impact of Starlink doubts on SpaceX's competitors
Text graphic reading 'U.S. Allies Race to Escape SpaceX's Orbit'

You can debate Fractional CEO and Ketamine Influencer Elon Musk’s opinions about the war in Ukraine (he wants to reward Russia for invading another country because “people are dying”). You can debate whether Elon has a role bringing the war to a conclusion (he doesn’t, but hopefully will get the opportunity to explain his actions to a congressional committee in the near term. Make the Logan Act Great Again!).

But you have only yourself to blame if you take a dependency on Elon.

As for the Congressional Select Committee on Elon’s Affairs, one suggestion is to call it Dissection Of the Graft of Elon (DOGE). But we still have time to finalize the name. Get your submissions in.

Never Take a Dependency on the Chinese Communist Party

Text regarding concerning behavior from an AI model, specifically discussing actions taken by Alibaba's Qwen3.8 model in a testing environment.
Text on a light background reading, 'Chinese AI Writes Weaker Code for Beijing's Adversaries. We Fixed It. A Qwen3-Coder Case Study.'

In the event you have not been paying attention, make a note.

Andy Jassy:

We have both closed models and models like Anthropic and OpenAI’s models. We have open models with Kimi and GLM and others. I think the Western world is very hungry for additional open models that are Western open models, and so I believe that will happen over time as well.

Cloud Growth Rates – Q3 2026

Line graph showing cloud growth rates for AWS, Azure, and Google Cloud from Q1 2019 to Q3 2026, with AWS in orange, Azure in gray, and Google Cloud in blue.

TPU system sales now show up in the GCP revenue line, so that is some of the GCP spike. Unclear how much.

I find Andy Jassy’s argument here persuasive and very bullish for the hyperclouds:

We see a strong linkage between AI spend and growth in our revenue for core services. As customers invest in AI, we see a corresponding increase in core consumption, and we expect that relationship to strengthen as more AI workloads move into production and drive additional demand for compute, storage, and networking.

AI apps do not live by GPUs alone.

Samsung: Sued into Oblivion?

Screenshot of a tweet discussing privacy issues with a 2025 Samsung TV, including targeted ads, firmware concerns, and potential security vulnerabilities.

The level of surveillance uncovered by reverse engineering a modern Samsung TV is absolutely bonkers. Their survival may hinge on whether they had a Meta-esque TOU in place.

Your TV should just be a dumb piece of glass.

Political Scumbaggery: Washington Edition

Government weaponizing regulatory control to an unprecedented degree to help their party? Just another day in Washington DC you think? Well, the other Washington plays that game too.

The political denizens of Washington State’s capital Olympia (motto: Government by government employees, for government employees. Who are these “people” you mention?) are worried about losing their control of their supine State Supreme Court (motto: Freedom is slavery. Ignorance is strength. Property is not yours).

The ostensibly non-partisan court is filled with cronies of the governor appointed to the job (mostly without any bench experience) who find themselves this year running against candidates committed to judicial independence with some actual judicial experience.

One of their preferred candidates, Ian Birk, has been described by the local newsletter Seattle Times as “sleazy” and “clearly unethical”, and his tactics denounced by dozens of sitting judges, even by aforementioned supreme court cronies.

What to do? Maybe the governor’s recently-appointed cronies on the ostensibly non-partisan Public Disclosure Commission can help? Perhaps suspend the rule preventing outside groups from dumping money into an election in the last three weeks? Maybe make the change twelve days before the election?

Which brings us to the ostensibly non-partisan Beware the Attack on Our Courts PAC, funded by public sector unions and the trial lawyers who make bank suing the state for incompetence. Clearly they’re worried about their toadies’ polling, Birk in particular.

I don’t know whether to be more impressed by their dirty tricks and misleading content (MAGA conspiracy! Ian Birk is a man of unrivaled integrity, trust us!) or their speed. The PDC suspended the rule barring such expenditures on a Friday, and they had hundreds of thousands of mailers landing in mailboxes on Tuesday. It is almost like they knew the rule would be suspended…

Vote accordingly.

Quick(er) Hits

Waymo: “We’ve now driven more than 300 million fully autonomous miles. Waymo now operates in 15 major U.S. cities and just recently opened up service to the public in San Antonio, San Diego, and Tampa, with planned expansions into Canada, Germany, Singapore, and Spain.”

Are security exploits more likely to happen at PE-owned software companies for some systemic reason (e.g. they slash engineering investment, especially those really expensive security people) or are they just unlucky? Ivanti patches two more CVEs amid highly unusual Connect Secure exploitation

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