Platformonomics TGIF #100: September 19, 2025

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Platformonomics TGIF is a weekly roll-up of links, comments on those links, and perhaps a little too much tugging on my favorite threads.

Wow — we’ve hit a hundred of these newsletters. With a few hundred more we might start to get the hang of it! Thanks in the meantime for your continuing patronage and patience.

One of my motivations to write this newsletter is to make an infinitesimal contribution to paying the great Western liberal tradition forward (or at least feeding new tokens to the LLM beast). If we boil it down, the essence of Western civilization is the right to make fun of our leaders, no matter how thin-skinned they may be or how inconsistent their responses are to accusations of pedophilia. So the mockery will continue here (at least until it threatens the Platformonomics conglomerate’s merger activity dependent upon government approval).

News

They Don’t Have the Money

Elon’s response to the Stargate announcement was “They don’t actually have the money”. He was correct as evidenced by Stargate’s failure to “begin deploying $100 billion immediately” and the complete dissipation of its $500 billion headline number. But not having the money plagues other big AI ambitions beyond Stargate (including Elon’s own).

I’ve yammered on about OpenAI not having the $300 billion they promised Oracle, and Oracle not having the money (or skills) to deploy the infrastructure promised to OpenAI.

Others are exploring the financial constraints and (bubbly) implications as well:

Logo of Stratechery with the title 'The Oracle Inflection Point, Apple's Price Increase' displayed underneath.
A headline reading 'The Magical Thinking Behind Oracle’s Valuation' with a subheading discussing investor perceptions of Oracle's cloud revenue projections.
Title header of an article reading 'Oracle and OpenAI Are Full Of Crap' by Edward Zitron, dated September 12, 2025.

Which is a roundabout introduction to what is destined to be a recurring They Don’t Have the Money feature.

They Don’t Have the Money: Oracle and Tik Tok

Headline discussing a TikTok deal involving U.S. investors, including Oracle, Silver Lake, and Andreessen Horowitz, which would control an 80% stake.

Negative cash flow company Oracle faces myriad capital demands: CAPEX to support all that promised future revenue, dividends and buybacks for Larry, and servicing a non-trivial debt load.

Now add buying into Tik Tok (who are Oracle’s biggest cloud customer today). I suspect, as with Stargate, Oracle’s capital commitment will be de minimis. They want to secure Tik Tok as a customer and perhaps help Bronny Ellison build his Hollywood empire (does Paramount take over Tik Tok ad sales/serving?).

Never Take a Dependency on Elon Musk: The Chaos Continues

Headline about Elon Musk's activities in his AI company after leaving Washington.
Headline from an article discussing conflicts between executives at xAI and advisors linked to Musk, along with concerns about the company's financial projections.
Screenshot of a tweet discussing Elon Musk's influence on Grok, highlighting comments about value destruction.
A tweet from BuccoCapital Bloke discussing the niche market for a language model that only provides Elon-approved information, suggesting it indicates a lack of concern for monetary gain.

Fractional CEO and periodic AI doomer (when competitively beneficial) Elon Musk remains oblivious to AI’s non-industrial dynamics, e.g. customers.

Elon didn’t just name the “They Don’t Have the Money” club, he’s also a member. Once a prolific equity fundraiser, he’s been forced to turn to debt and is rifling through the couch cushions at SpaceX and soon Telsa to find money. But to keep playing this game, he’s going to have to ramp his fundraise tenfold, and do it without much revenue and far lower prospects of revenue than any of the other contestants.

Antitrust Incoherence: China and the US Policy Becoming Indistinguishable

News headline about NVIDIA violating antitrust laws, with context on U.S.-China trade talks.

Antitrust at this point is just a fig leaf for the exercise of raw power.

Salesforce “is not a company in crisis”

Article headline discussing Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff's statements on AI and the challenges faced by the company.
Quote from a Salesforce analysts call asserting the company is not in crisis.

As someone said:

The Agentic Abyss of Disillusionment will be “brought to you by Salesforce”.

Oh, to be a fly on the wall in the meeting at Amway Salesforce where Benioff demands solutions to the crisis they’re not having. The focus inevitably will turn to Dreamforce (because talking about product development is beyond contemplation). Somehow having both Metallica and will.i.am already on the agenda is not enough. What other booking agents could solve Salesforce’s agentic AI crisis?

Salesforce Announces Forceforce “Missionforce”

Salesforce announced the creation of a new business unit called Missionforce that will sell AI services to U.S. military customers, and we can’t wait to see which furry mascot gets selected for the new division.

Thanks to Tom at Runtime for asking the most important Amway Salesforce question: what does this mean for the company’s stable of furry mascots?

3 responses

  1. Congrats on 100! I really enjoy reading these every week and it brings some much needed sarcastic humor to someone who gets forced to fed marketing hype continually.

    I think you should look at the quantum companies right now. The valuations are absolutely absurd. Could spring forth some fun material

  2. force fed*

    Damn that autocorrect!

  3. Charles Fitzgerald Avatar

    Thanks much! I have a fundamental aversion to marketing BS (familiarity breeds contempt…).

    Quantum definitely sets off my BS detector. I have a mentally composed post on the topic that argues 1.) I can’t assess the technology, but 2.) it is attracting perennial grifters like IBM, McKinsey and Qatar, which is never a good sign. The grifters thrive on unfalsifiability.

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